Mesoscale Discussion 0341
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0716 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024
Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Kentucky
Concerning...Tornado Watch 73...
Valid 021216Z - 021345Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 73 continues.
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue east across
parts of central into eastern Kentucky this morning. Damaging gusts
and a tornado or two remain possible.
DISCUSSION...A broken line of thunderstorms across west-central KY
has become somewhat less organized compared to an hour ago. This is
likely due to some influence of low-level inhibition. Nevertheless,
the VWP from KLVX continues to show favorable vertical shear for
storm organization and low-level rotation. Instability is modest
across the area, but sufficient to support severe storms given
strong vertical shear. Fast storm motion will further contribute to
damaging gust potential. Meanwhile, enlarged and curved low-level
hodographs with 0-1 km SRH values greater than 175 m2/s2 in the
presence of a moist boundary layer will support tornado potential.
It should be noted this is the first round of strong to severe
storms for today. Additional severe storms are expected this
afternoon.